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Nationwide US Data Hint at Leveling Daily Case Rate for COVID-19
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Mark Mascolini
Daily new cases of COVID-19 show signs of leveling off at a high rate over the past 10 days in the United States, according to data compiled by www.worldometers.info [1]. New US cases per day peaked at 34,196 on April 4, 2020, according to Worldometers, then floated in a narrow range at or above 30,000 cases through April 11. Worldometers does not offer statistical analysis of changes in daily US case rates, which they began tracking in February 2020.EndFragment
Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us, April 12, 2020.
An international team of researchers and volunteers, Worldometers aims to “make world statistics available in a thought-provoking and time relevant format to a wide audience around the world” [2]. The group has no political, governmental, or corporate affiliation. Worldometers claims that their COVID-19 data are used by the UK government, the Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering, the New York Times, the Financial Times, and other entities. Worldometers explains its COVID-19 data collection methods at https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/about/.
The daily COVID-19 case rate (or incidence) first topped 1000 on the March 17 Worldometers graph, then jumped to 2950 on March 18, to 4569 on March 19, and to 5632 on March 20. Worldometers charted the steepest jump in daily COVID-19 cases starting around March 30 and continuing through April 4:
- March 30: 20,732
- March 31: 24,914
- April 1: 26,655
- April 2: 30,107
- April 3: 32,454
- April 4: 34,196
April 5 saw a sharp plunge in the daily COVID-19 rate to 25,400. From April 6 through April 11, new daily COVID-19 cases hovered in a tight range between 33,752 (April 10) and 30,003 (April 11).
On April 12 Worldometers counted 533,115 COVID-19 cases in the United States, 20,580 deaths, and 30,502 recoveries. The group ranks 98% of current US cases “mild” and 2% “serious or critical.” Among 51,082 closed cases, 60% recovered and 40% died. New York State had by far the highest number of cases on April 12 at 181,144, followed by New Jersey at 58,151, Michigan at 23,993, Massachusetts at 22,860, and California at 22,409.
References
1. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
2. https://www.worldometers.info/about/
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